UPDATED-- Hurricane Dean (Cat 5)

Discussion in 'Cancun Info' started by Steve, Aug 13, 2007.

  1. Waste

    Waste Moderator Registered Member

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    After Dean is nothing but a memory, but right before you crack open the cervezas and champagne for your After Hurricane Dean party, remind me to inform you that our first snow fall is somewhere between mid Dec to beginning of Jan, and it's gone by April. (unless you're talking about the prairies) :D

    Be safe.
     
  2. matkirk

    matkirk Guru Registered Member

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    ARE you 100% sure we are all going to die, because If so I am about to tell my boss what I really think of him then go and get horribly drunk for the next few days, I don't want to wake up on wednesday, and find i have no job, just a bad hangover!
     
  3. gene37412

    gene37412 Guest

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    I am as sure of it as SR. Mendez is about us falling off the face of the earth.....which probally isn't a lot....don't think I would quit my day job just yet
     
  4. jen***

    jen*** Guest

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    :natter: Someone obviously bored and trying to create hysteria - lets see you post next week when it's all over. we're fine and the sun's out again.
    It's pathetic posters like this that make these waiting days worse. Yes it's potentially dangerous to us but for god's sake, no need to get dramatic when we don't even know the final path of the hurricane.
    Loser! :double finger: :bootyshake:
     
  5. Drewbert

    Drewbert Guest

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    His post has me so scared I shit my pants.

    TJ, can you pop over and clean me up please? I need new nappies.
     
  6. Steve

    Steve Administrator Owner

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    Hurricane Dean is now officially Category 3 with sustained winds of 125mph and gusts up to 155mph.

    Starting to get a bit scary now
     
  7. EngineerGuy

    EngineerGuy I can choose my own title Registered Member

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    Take care steve!! Hopefully this thing misses you all down there. Obviously hard to tell right now, but it looks like one way or another you will get some portion of this, if not all of it. Im praying thats not the case!
     
  8. ACBUD420

    ACBUD420 Guest

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    Let's hope it doesn't hit Cancun head on steve!!!

    Be safe!
     
  9. jenleib

    jenleib Addict Registered Member

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    Well... I lived 8 years in Canada, so I know that there can be a storm mid Sept. and you are advised not to take your winter tires before mid May... I am not talking about the Prairies nor Calgary, but Ontario and Quebec. Are you talking about Vancouver?

    Anyway, I went to my alarm company this morning, the manager was just getting out of a meeting with security people and ayuntamiento. They say

    :?: it will NOT hit Cancun, and when it arrives around here, it will be a storm, not hurricane.
     
  10. BrianL

    BrianL Guest

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    Judging from the happenings of the storm during this morning and today.... and the location of the low.... I'd say the chance that this storm will hit Cancun is SIGNIFICANTLY LESS then yesterday.

    Is there still a chance? yes.... your not out of the woods yet... but I'd be willing to put money on it that its not a direct hit and it tracks more directly into the gulf, rather then the Yucatan.


    I think Jamaica is at alot more risk right now then Cancun and everyone in the southern U.S. states should keep a close eye on it as it could be a category 5 in the Gulf.


    News is alot more positive now for cancun then it was 24 hours ago when it looked almost inevitable.


    I'll update the discussion in about 15 minutes when the 5 pm advisory comes out... I expect the NHC to shift there track a little more to the north gradually tonight.



    One of the more respected meterologists I know had this to say about 45 minutes ago:


    I put more stock in the GFDL and HWRF....for reasons I stated earlier....having the inner core modeled well, (intensity wise) I believe plays an important part in the steering of the storm under such precarious conditions. (Meaning a few degrees shift, means catching the weakness or not.

    I think the globals have done poorly with the speed and intensity. And I'm not sure they'd know what to do with an intense storm anyway....Katrina and Rita were modeled poorly also in the 3-5 day range by the globals.

    I think this pupy sneeks into the GOM, with the only land interaction taking place over Jamaica.....then off to the US......details tomorrow....